Sporting Cristal 2-0 Comerciantes Unidos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 29 Jun 2025

📅29/06/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.25
Draw
18%
5.71
Away
15%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
76%
-9.5pp
18%
Draw
15%
+3.2pp
15%
Away Win
9%
+6.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.9pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Cristal EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Comerciantes Unidos EU Bookmakers 11%
+2% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +5%
2.21/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/1.84
+33% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -13%
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
309 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 77%
28.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.1
24.8 Crosses 13.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Cristal
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Comerciantes Unidos
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.67 xG 0.34
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
364 Passes 235
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
29 Box Touches 12
24 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.11.2024 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 3-0 HT 1-0 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos PER
25.05.2024 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 0-1 HT 0-1 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
30.09.2018 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 0-2 HT 0-2 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos PER
09.06.2018 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 1-1 HT 1-1 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
11.04.2018 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 1-3 HT 1-1 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
26.02.2018 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 3-0 HT 2-0 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Cristal
2-0
AWAY Comerciantes Unidos
2.34 xG 0.19
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 4
362 Passes 186
84% Pass Accuracy 69%
37 Box Touches 3
13 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sporting Cristal vs Comerciantes Unidos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Cristal saw off Comerciantes Unidos 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sporting Cristal as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sporting Cristal had 61% of the ball to Comerciantes Unidos's 39%, shots finished 12-3, expected goals 2.34 to 0.19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Cristal had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Sporting Cristal and 0.67 for Comerciantes Unidos.

What was the final score of Sporting Cristal vs Comerciantes Unidos?

Sporting Cristal 2-0 Comerciantes Unidos in the Peru - Premier League on 29/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Cristal vs Comerciantes Unidos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Cristal win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Sporting Cristal 67%, draw 18%, Comerciantes Unidos 15%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Cristal), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Cristal) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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