Sporting Cristal 3-0 Comerciantes Unidos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.16
Draw
20%
7.78
Away
15%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
3.59
Over 2.5
55%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.29
No
54%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
82%
-17.2pp
20%
Draw
10%
+9.1pp
15%
Away Win
7%
+8.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
24%
+20.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
76%
-20.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+6.2pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Cristal EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Comerciantes Unidos EU Bookmakers 9%
-2% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +3%
2.22/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/1.74
+27% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -9%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
428 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 75%
28.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.3
24.7 Crosses 13.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Cristal
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Comerciantes Unidos
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.15 xG 0.43
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
369 Passes 248
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
27 Box Touches 13
25 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.05.2024 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 0-1 HT 0-1 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
30.09.2018 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 0-2 HT 0-2 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos PER
09.06.2018 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 1-1 HT 1-1 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
11.04.2018 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 1-3 HT 1-1 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
26.02.2018 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 3-0 HT 2-0 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos PER
10.09.2017 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 2-2 HT 2-0 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Cristal
3-0
AWAY Comerciantes Unidos
2.72 xG 0.14
67% Ball Possession 33%
23 Total Shots 6
15 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 1
317 Passes 150
86% Pass Accuracy 70%
36 Box Touches 9
24 Crosses 5
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sporting Cristal vs Comerciantes Unidos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Cristal swept aside Comerciantes Unidos 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sporting Cristal as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Sporting Cristal had 67% of the ball to Comerciantes Unidos's 33%, shots finished 23-6, expected goals 2.72 to 0.14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Cristal had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sporting Cristal and 1.00 for Comerciantes Unidos.

What was the final score of Sporting Cristal vs Comerciantes Unidos?

Sporting Cristal 3-0 Comerciantes Unidos in the Peru - Premier League on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Cristal vs Comerciantes Unidos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Cristal win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Sporting Cristal 65%, draw 20%, Comerciantes Unidos 15%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Cristal), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Cristal) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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