Alianza Lima vs Cusco FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alianza Lima v Cusco FC — Team-Based Signals
Alianza Lima vs Cusco FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Alianza Lima
PER
2-0
HT 1-0
Cusco FC
PER
0-2
HT 0-0
Alianza Lima
PER
2-2
HT 1-1
Cusco FC
PER
1-0
HT 1-0
Alianza Lima
PER
Alianza Lima 1-2 Cusco FC — Actual Match Statistics
Cusco FC nicked a narrow win over Alianza Lima 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Alianza Lima at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Alianza Lima had 55% of the ball to Cusco FC's 45%, shots finished 30-5, expected goals 2.02 to 0.23 — the balance of chances actually favoured Alianza Lima.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Alianza Lima and 1.17 for Cusco FC.
What was the final score of Alianza Lima vs Cusco FC?
Alianza Lima 1-2 Cusco FC in the Peru - Premier League on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alianza Lima vs Cusco FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Lima win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Alianza Lima 56%, draw 23%, Cusco FC 21%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.