Jagiellonia Bialystok 1-2 Rakow Czestochowa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 2 Nov 2025

Jagiellonia Bialystok
1 - 2 HT 0 - 1
Rakow Czestochowa
📅02/11/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2025/2026

Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Rakow Czestochowa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
1.95
Over
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
56%
1.64
No
44%
2.12
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.37
2-3
46%
1.76
4-5
23%
3.23
6+
6%
11.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
3.1
1/2
2%
31.0
1/X
6%
12.65
X/1
15%
5.17
X/2
11%
6.68
X/X
16%
4.79
2/1 ✗
3%
24.85
2/2
16%
4.62
2/X
5%
13.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.85 — our 3% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Jagiellonia Bialystok v Rakow Czestochowa — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Jagiellonia Bialystok The Market 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Rakow Czestochowa The Market 34%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.88 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.14
1.26 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.28
Great Attack Strength Average
Weak Defense Strength Average
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
348 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 78%
28 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19
22 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3

Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Rakow Czestochowa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jagiellonia Bialystok
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Rakow Czestochowa
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.31 xG 1.84
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
361 Passes 324
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 31
13 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.05.2025 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 1-2 HT 1-1 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok POL
10.11.2024 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok 2-2 HT 0-1 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
10.12.2023 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok 4-2 HT 2-1 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
22.07.2023 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 3-0 HT 1-0 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok POL
24.02.2023 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok 1-2 HT 1-1 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
14.08.2022 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 2-2 HT 2-0 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok POL

Jagiellonia Bialystok 1-2 Rakow Czestochowa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jagiellonia Bialystok
1 - 2
AWAY Rakow Czestochowa
2.03 xG 1.20
67% Ball Possession 33%
26 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
420 Passes 178
84% Pass Accuracy 72%
38 Box Touches 30
22 Crosses 10
5 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Rakow Czestochowa
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Rakow Czestochowa found just enough to beat Jagiellonia Bialystok 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

A gentle 44% lean on Jagiellonia Bialystok didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. Nothing to argue with on goals either — both teams to score (56%) came home.

Under the surface, possession split 67% to 33% in Jagiellonia Bialystok's favour, shots finished 26-11, expected goals 2.03 to 1.20 — by the quality of chances, Jagiellonia Bialystok deserved more.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.83 a game for Jagiellonia Bialystok against 2.00 for Rakow Czestochowa.

Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Rakow Czestochowa Result & Final Score

Jagiellonia Bialystok 1 - 2 Rakow Czestochowa in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 02/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Rakow Czestochowa Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Jagiellonia Bialystok win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Jagiellonia Bialystok 44%, draw 27%, Rakow Czestochowa 29%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Jagiellonia Bialystok) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jagiellonia Bialystok) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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