Lech Poznan 2-2 Motor Lublin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 2 Nov 2025

Lech Poznan
2 - 2 HT 2 - 2
Motor Lublin
📅02/11/2025 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2025/2026

Lech Poznan vs Motor Lublin Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
66%
1.53
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
15%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under
34%
2.51
Over
66%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.57
No
41%
2.24
Total Goals
0-1
15%
5.01
2-3
43%
1.94
4-5
31%
2.59
6+
11%
6.29
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1.88
1/2
1%
35.0
1/X
5%
15.15
X/1
19%
4.27
X/2
6%
11.45
X/X
11%
6.95
2/1 ✗
4%
19.1
2/2
7%
8.37
2/X
4%
16.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.1 — our 4% vs market 2.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Lech Poznan v Motor Lublin — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Lech Poznan The Market 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Motor Lublin The Market 21%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Great
2.17 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.26
0.88 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.21
Average Attack Strength Strong
Average Defense Strength Weak
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
406 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 75%
29 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23
22 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2

Lech Poznan vs Motor Lublin Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lech Poznan
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Motor Lublin
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.81 xG 1.33
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
514 Passes 273
88% Pass Accuracy 77%
34 Box Touches 21
29 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.04.2025 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin 1-2 HT 0-2 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan POL
05.10.2024 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 1-2 HT 1-1 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin POL

Lech Poznan 2-2 Motor Lublin — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lech Poznan
2 - 2
AWAY Motor Lublin
1.17 xG 0.89
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
475 Passes 314
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
45 Box Touches 16
29 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Lech Poznan vs Motor Lublin
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

a 2-2 draw left Lech Poznan and Motor Lublin with a point apiece.

File this under upsets: a 66% lean on Lech Poznan went begging. That's football — and exactly why we publish probabilities, not promises. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

The match data tells the story: Lech Poznan had 59% of the ball to Motor Lublin's 41%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 1.17 to 0.89.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Lech Poznan and 1.50 for Motor Lublin.

Lech Poznan vs Motor Lublin Result & Final Score

Lech Poznan 2 - 2 Motor Lublin in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 02/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Lech Poznan vs Motor Lublin Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Lech Poznan win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Lech Poznan 66%, draw 19%, Motor Lublin 14%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lech Poznan) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lech Poznan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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