Kayserispor vs Kasımpaşa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Kayserispor v Kasımpaşa — Team-Based Signals
Kayserispor vs Kasımpaşa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-4
HT 1-3
Kayserispor
TSL
0-0
HT 0-0
Kasımpaşa
TSL
0-1
HT 0-1
Kayserispor
TSL
Kayserispor 3-2 Kasımpaşa — Actual Match Statistics
Kayserispor nicked a narrow win over Kasımpaşa 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kayserispor as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Kayserispor had 43% of the ball to Kasımpaşa's 57%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 1.45 to 0.39.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kayserispor had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kayserispor and 1.00 for Kasımpaşa.
What was the final score of Kayserispor vs Kasımpaşa?
Kayserispor 3-2 Kasımpaşa in the Turkey - Super League on 02/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Kayserispor vs Kasımpaşa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Kayserispor win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Kayserispor 43%, draw 24%, Kasımpaşa 33%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kayserispor), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.