AEK Atina 1-0 Panaitolikos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 2 Nov 2025

📅02/11/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
76%
1.27
Draw
14%
5.15
Away
10%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.18
Over 2.5
54%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.27
No
51%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.96
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
26%
2.9
6+ Goals
10%
8.86
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1.41
1/2
2%
35.0
1/X
5%
26.0
X/1
29%
3.57
X/2
4%
23.1
X/X
6%
8.07
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
24.85
2/2
3%
21.8
2/X
4%
31.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.85 — our 10% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
76%
Home Win
75%
+0.8pp
14%
Draw
17%
-2.2pp
10%
Away Win
9%
+1.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
42%
+3.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
58%
-3.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
40%
+8.8pp
51%
BTTS No
60%
-8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AEK Atina EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Panaitolikos EU Bookmakers 11%
-2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +21%
2.20/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/1.86
+9% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +7%
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
437 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 215 · 71%
35.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.5
25.5 Crosses 10.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AEK Atina
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Panaitolikos
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.08 xG 0.79
67% Ball Possession 33%
20 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
497 Passes 176
87% Pass Accuracy 70%
43 Box Touches 11
34 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 4
24.09.2025 AEK Atina AEK Atina 2-1 HT 2-0 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUK
25.01.2025 AEK Atina AEK Atina 1-0 HT 0-0 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
05.10.2024 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 1-0 HT 0-0 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
18.12.2023 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 2-2 HT 1-2 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
08.10.2023 AEK Atina AEK Atina 3-0 HT 2-0 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
15.01.2023 AEK Atina AEK Atina 4-1 HT 2-1 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AEK Atina
1-0
AWAY Panaitolikos
1.47 xG 0.29
73% Ball Possession 27%
18 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 2
548 Passes 170
91% Pass Accuracy 73%
52 Box Touches 7
31 Crosses 4
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH AEK Atina vs Panaitolikos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AEK Atina nicked a narrow win over Panaitolikos 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had AEK Atina as the likeliest winner at 76%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, AEK Atina had 73% of the ball to Panaitolikos's 27%, shots finished 18-5, expected goals 1.47 to 0.29.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AEK Atina had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for AEK Atina and 0.83 for Panaitolikos.

What was the final score of AEK Atina vs Panaitolikos?

AEK Atina 1-0 Panaitolikos in the Greece - Super League on 02/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AEK Atina vs Panaitolikos?

Before kick-off our model rated a AEK Atina win the most likely single outcome at about 76%, with the full match-result split AEK Atina 76%, draw 14%, Panaitolikos 10%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AEK Atina), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AEK Atina) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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