Oriente Petrolero 4-2 Gualberto Villarroel SJ — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 2 Dec 2024

📅02/12/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.61
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.51
Over 2.5
57%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.53
No
45%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
58%
-8.0pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.7pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+5.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
36%
+7.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
64%
-7.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
61%
-6.0pp
45%
BTTS No
39%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oriente Petrolero EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Gualberto Villarroel SJ EU Bookmakers 22%
-5% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
1.45/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.84
-18% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +60% / +14%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
337 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 71%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
22.9 Crosses 10.9
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oriente Petrolero
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Gualberto Villarroel SJ
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.39 xG 1.01
45% Ball Possession 55%
18 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
194 Passes 277
69% Pass Accuracy 75%
23 Box Touches 14
24 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 3
03.08.2024 Gualberto Villarroel SJ Gualberto Villarroel SJ 2-0 HT 0-0 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero BOLİ
15.03.2024 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero 1-0 HT 0-0 Gualberto Villarroel SJ Gualberto Villarroel SJ BOLİ
04.03.2024 Gualberto Villarroel SJ Gualberto Villarroel SJ 1-3 HT 1-0 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oriente Petrolero
4-2
AWAY Gualberto Villarroel SJ
2.97 xG 1.11
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 1
273 Passes 226
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
29 Box Touches 12
23 Crosses 8
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Oriente Petrolero vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oriente Petrolero got the better of Gualberto Villarroel SJ 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Oriente Petrolero as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Oriente Petrolero had 55% of the ball to Gualberto Villarroel SJ's 45%, shots finished 18-7, expected goals 2.97 to 1.11.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Oriente Petrolero had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Oriente Petrolero and 1.00 for Gualberto Villarroel SJ.

What was the final score of Oriente Petrolero vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ?

Oriente Petrolero 4-2 Gualberto Villarroel SJ in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 02/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oriente Petrolero vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oriente Petrolero win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Oriente Petrolero 50%, draw 26%, Gualberto Villarroel SJ 24%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Oriente Petrolero), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Oriente Petrolero) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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