Wigan Athletic 1-0 Burton Albion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 2 Dec 2025

📅02/12/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
2.68
2-3 Goals
37%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.03
6+ Goals
9%
19.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.68 — our 33% vs market 30.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.37
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
7%
15.05
X/1
21%
4.15
X/2
9%
8.99
X/X
11%
4.56
2/1
8%
26.5
2/2
13%
7.69
2/X
6%
16.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-4.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+5.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.5pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wigan Athletic EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Burton Albion EU Bookmakers 24%
+3% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +24%
1.72/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.50
+6% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +12%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
334 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 67%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
18.6 Crosses 15.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wigan Athletic
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Burton Albion
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.10 xG 1.25
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
412 Passes 206
79% Pass Accuracy 68%
19 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.04.2025 Burton Albion Burton Albion 1-1 HT 0-0 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İN1
21.01.2025 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 1-2 HT 1-1 Burton Albion Burton Albion İN1
29.03.2024 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 1-1 HT 1-0 Burton Albion Burton Albion İN1
03.10.2023 Burton Albion Burton Albion 2-1 HT 0-1 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İN1
12.04.2022 Burton Albion Burton Albion 0-0 HT 0-0 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İN1
30.10.2021 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 2-0 HT 1-0 Burton Albion Burton Albion İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wigan Athletic
1-0
AWAY Burton Albion
1.51 xG 0.66
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 7
277 Passes 212
72% Pass Accuracy 70%
22 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Wigan Athletic vs Burton Albion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wigan Athletic nicked a narrow win over Burton Albion 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Wigan Athletic as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Wigan Athletic had 55% of the ball to Burton Albion's 45%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 1.51 to 0.66.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Burton Albion led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Wigan Athletic and 1.00 for Burton Albion.

What was the final score of Wigan Athletic vs Burton Albion?

Wigan Athletic 1-0 Burton Albion in the England - 1st Division on 02/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wigan Athletic vs Burton Albion?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wigan Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Wigan Athletic 49%, draw 25%, Burton Albion 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wigan Athletic), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Wigan Athletic) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →