Kitchee 1-0 Eastern — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - Premier League, 2 Dec 2025

📅02/12/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.32
Draw
23%
4.81
Away
18%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.23
Over 2.5
50%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.95
No
47%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
25%
X/2
5%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
71%
-12.3pp
24%
Draw
18%
+5.8pp
18%
Away Win
11%
+6.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.2pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kitchee EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Eastern EU Bookmakers 14%
-9% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
3.62/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.25/1.03
+40% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -70% / +150%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
345 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kitchee
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Eastern
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
14.09.2025 Eastern Eastern 0-1 HT 0-0 Kitchee Kitchee HK1
29.08.2025 Eastern Eastern 0-1 HT 0-1 Kitchee Kitchee HK1
02.02.2025 Kitchee Kitchee 3-0 HT 3-0 Eastern Eastern HK1
18.01.2025 Eastern Eastern 1-1 HT 1-1 Kitchee Kitchee HK1
12.05.2024 Kitchee Kitchee 1-2 HT 0-1 Eastern Eastern HONFK
01.05.2024 Eastern Eastern 2-1 HT 1-1 Kitchee Kitchee HK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kitchee
1-0
AWAY Eastern
66% Ball Possession 34%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kitchee vs Eastern
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kitchee edged past Eastern 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kitchee as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Kitchee had 66% of the ball to Eastern's 34%, shots finished 8-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kitchee had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kitchee and 0.83 for Eastern.

What was the final score of Kitchee vs Eastern?

Kitchee 1-0 Eastern in the Hong Kong - Premier League on 02/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kitchee vs Eastern?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kitchee win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Kitchee 59%, draw 24%, Eastern 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kitchee) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kitchee) ✗ BTTS Yes
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