Lechia Gdansk 1-3 Gornik Zabrze — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Cup, 2 Dec 2025

📅02/12/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.33
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
41%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
1.82
Over Pick
52%
1.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.72
No
48%
2.0
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.05
2-3
40%
1.75
4-5
23%
3.57
6+
12%
14.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Lechia Gdansk The Market 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Gornik Zabrze The Market 37%
Great Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Bad
Great Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Bad
2.39 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.00
1.45 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.85
Great Attackvs comparable teams Bad
Average Defensevs comparable teams Bad
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lechia Gdansk
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Gornik Zabrze
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.68 xG 1.83
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
284 Passes 383
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 31
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.07.2025 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 2-1 HT 1-0 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk POL
09.03.2025 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 1-2 HT 1-0 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
01.09.2024 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 2-3 HT 0-2 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk POL
04.02.2023 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 1-1 HT 1-0 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk POL
18.11.2022 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 2-1 HT 0-1 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
18.04.2022 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 1-3 HT 0-1 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lechia Gdansk
1-3
AWAY Gornik Zabrze
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Lechia Gdansk vs Gornik Zabrze
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Gornik Zabrze put daylight between themselves and Lechia Gdansk 3-1 on the road. Half-time: 1-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Gornik Zabrze as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 52% and both teams to score at 52%, coin-flips both. The market went further still — the under-2.5 price closed at 1.82, about 55%.

On the day, possession split 55% to 45% in Lechia Gdansk's favour, shots finished 17-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lechia Gdansk had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.83 a game for Lechia Gdansk against 1.50 for Gornik Zabrze.

Lechia Gdansk vs Gornik Zabrze Result & Final Score

Lechia Gdansk 1-3 Gornik Zabrze in the Poland - Cup on 02/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Lechia Gdansk vs Gornik Zabrze Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Gornik Zabrze win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Lechia Gdansk 35%, draw 24%, Gornik Zabrze 41%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gornik Zabrze), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gornik Zabrze) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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