Partick Thistle 3-2 Greenock Morton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 3 Jan 2026

📅03/01/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
16%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.78
Over 2.5
49%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.92
2-3 Goals
37%
1.75
4-5 Goals
24%
3.69
6+ Goals
10%
15.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.11
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
7%
15.55
X/1
20%
4.04
X/2
6%
10.45
X/X
10%
4.99
2/1
9%
24.85
2/2
6%
8.94
2/X
9%
17.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
57%
+1.1pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.6pp
15%
Away Win
18%
-2.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.5pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Partick Thistle EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Greenock Morton EU Bookmakers 21%
-4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +15%
1.69/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.09
+4% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +43%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
412 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 73%
29.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
11.5 Crosses 3.8
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Partick Thistle
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Greenock Morton
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
11.10.2025 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 1-1 HT 1-0 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
09.08.2025 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 1-1 HT 0-1 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
29.03.2025 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 0-1 HT 0-0 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
01.02.2025 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 2-2 HT 0-1 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
31.12.2024 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 2-1 HT 0-0 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
03.08.2024 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 0-0 HT 0-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
POST-MATCH Partick Thistle vs Greenock Morton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Partick Thistle nicked a narrow win over Greenock Morton 3-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Partick Thistle as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Partick Thistle and 1.00 for Greenock Morton.

What was the final score of Partick Thistle vs Greenock Morton?

Partick Thistle 3-2 Greenock Morton in the Scotland - Championship on 03/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Partick Thistle vs Greenock Morton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Partick Thistle win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Partick Thistle 58%, draw 26%, Greenock Morton 15%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Partick Thistle) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Partick Thistle) ✗ Under 2.5
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