Greenock Morton 1-1 Partick Thistle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 11 Oct 2025

📅11/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
2.99
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
45%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.82
No
46%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.77
2-3 Goals
45%
1.73
4-5 Goals
18%
3.81
6+ Goals
10%
17.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.95
1/2
10%
27.5
1/X
8%
14.0
X/1
8%
6.57
X/2
17%
4.88
X/X
16%
4.38
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
17%
3.12
2/X
6%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
30%
-4.9pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.9pp
45%
Away Win
43%
+2.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.1pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greenock Morton EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Partick Thistle EU Bookmakers 46%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -5%
1.81/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.31/1.26
+10% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -11%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
261 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 77%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.6
9.5 Crosses 14.8
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greenock Morton
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Partick Thistle
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 9
2 Corners 2
09.08.2025 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 1-1 HT 0-1 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
29.03.2025 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 0-1 HT 0-0 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
01.02.2025 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 2-2 HT 0-1 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
31.12.2024 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 2-1 HT 0-0 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
03.08.2024 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 0-0 HT 0-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
16.03.2024 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 2-1 HT 1-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
POST-MATCH Greenock Morton vs Partick Thistle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Greenock Morton and Partick Thistle shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Partick Thistle at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Partick Thistle led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Greenock Morton and 1.17 for Partick Thistle.

What was the final score of Greenock Morton vs Partick Thistle?

Greenock Morton 1-1 Partick Thistle in the Scotland - Championship on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greenock Morton vs Partick Thistle?

Before kick-off our model rated an Partick Thistle win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Greenock Morton 25%, draw 30%, Partick Thistle 45%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Partick Thistle) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Partick Thistle) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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