Arbroath 4-1 Queens Park — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 11 Oct 2025

📅11/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.09
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.74
Over 2.5
42%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.77
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
3.81
6+ Goals
7%
17.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.77 — our 33% vs market 28.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.08
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
9%
13.6
X/1
13%
4.81
X/2
14%
6.6
X/X
14%
4.42
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
12%
5.01
2/X
7%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
44%
-8.4pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.8pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+5.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
54%
+4.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
46%
-4.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.1pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arbroath EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Queens Park EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +9%
1.39/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.42
-7% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
289 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 2.0
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arbroath
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Queens Park
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 8
09.08.2025 Queens Park Queens Park 1-3 HT 0-0 Arbroath Arbroath İKCL
27.02.2024 Queens Park Queens Park 6-0 HT 3-0 Arbroath Arbroath İKCL
19.08.2023 Arbroath Arbroath 0-1 HT 0-0 Queens Park Queens Park İKCL
12.08.2023 Queens Park Queens Park 2-1 HT 1-0 Arbroath Arbroath İKCL
24.03.2023 Queens Park Queens Park 0-1 HT 0-0 Arbroath Arbroath İKCL
23.12.2022 Arbroath Arbroath 1-4 HT 0-2 Queens Park Queens Park İKCL
POST-MATCH Arbroath vs Queens Park
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arbroath swept aside Queens Park 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 30% / 34% — and on the day Arbroath made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Queens Park led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Arbroath and 2.33 for Queens Park.

What was the final score of Arbroath vs Queens Park?

Arbroath 4-1 Queens Park in the Scotland - Championship on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arbroath vs Queens Park?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arbroath win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Arbroath 36%, draw 30%, Queens Park 34%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arbroath) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arbroath) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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