Raith Rovers 0-2 Ayr United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 11 Oct 2025

📅11/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.62
Over 2.5
40%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.45
2-3 Goals
38%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
4.35
6+ Goals
7%
23.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.25
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.85
X/1
11%
4.82
X/2
16%
6.41
X/X
16%
4.04
2/1
10%
30.0
2/2
11%
5.03
2/X
5%
14.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.5pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.7pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
58%
+1.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
42%
-1.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.2pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Raith Rovers EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Ayr United EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +7%
0.87/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/0.33
+14% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -20%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
255 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 79%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.0
18.1 Crosses 9.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Raith Rovers
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Ayr United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
09.08.2025 Ayr United Ayr United 0-1 HT 0-1 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCL
05.04.2025 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 1-0 HT 0-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
04.01.2025 Ayr United Ayr United 3-0 HT 3-0 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCL
01.11.2024 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 2-0 HT 2-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
08.09.2024 Ayr United Ayr United 3-2 HT 0-2 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCK
24.08.2024 Ayr United Ayr United 2-0 HT 1-0 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCL
POST-MATCH Raith Rovers vs Ayr United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ayr United saw off Raith Rovers 2-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and on the day Ayr United made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Raith Rovers and 1.33 for Ayr United.

What was the final score of Raith Rovers vs Ayr United?

Raith Rovers 0-2 Ayr United in the Scotland - Championship on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Raith Rovers vs Ayr United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Raith Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Raith Rovers 40%, draw 28%, Ayr United 32%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Raith Rovers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Raith Rovers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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