St. Johnstone 1-0 Arbroath — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 3 Jan 2026

📅03/01/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.42
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
13%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.97
Over 2.5
47%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.46
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.22
6+ Goals
9%
11.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.46 — our 29% vs market 22.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1.71
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
7%
18.8
X/1
21%
3.8
X/2
6%
14.8
X/X
7%
6.26
2/1
9%
23.55
2/2
4%
13.15
2/X
6%
21.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
67%
-0.8pp
21%
Draw
20%
+0.5pp
13%
Away Win
13%
+0.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.1pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Johnstone EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Arbroath EU Bookmakers 16%
-5% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +1%
1.59/0.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/2.24
-15% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -15%
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
430 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.0
Crosses 13.0
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Johnstone
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Arbroath
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
22 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 11
18.10.2025 Arbroath Arbroath 3-1 HT 0-1 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKCL
23.08.2025 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 3-0 HT 1-0 Arbroath Arbroath İKCL
15.08.2021 Arbroath Arbroath 2-2 HT 1-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKLK
26.08.2009 Arbroath Arbroath 0-6 HT 0-4 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKLK
08.03.2003 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 2-1 HT 1-1 Arbroath Arbroath İKCL
01.01.2003 Arbroath Arbroath 2-3 HT 1-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKCL
POST-MATCH St. Johnstone vs Arbroath
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Johnstone edged past Arbroath 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had St. Johnstone as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Johnstone had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for St. Johnstone and 1.33 for Arbroath.

What was the final score of St. Johnstone vs Arbroath?

St. Johnstone 1-0 Arbroath in the Scotland - Championship on 03/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Johnstone vs Arbroath?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Johnstone win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split St. Johnstone 66%, draw 21%, Arbroath 13%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Johnstone), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (St. Johnstone) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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