Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest Prediction — Model Probabilities
Aston Villa v Nottingham Forest — Team-Based Signals
Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Aston Villa 3-1 Nottingham Forest — Actual Match Statistics
Aston Villa beat Nottingham Forest 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Aston Villa as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 50% and both teams to score at 54%, coin-flips both.
By the numbers, possession split 73% to 27% in Aston Villa's favour, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 1.69 to 0.89.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aston Villa had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.67 a game for Aston Villa against 1.33 for Nottingham Forest.
Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest Result & Final Score
Aston Villa 3 - 1 Nottingham Forest in the England - Premier League on 03/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Aston Villa win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Aston Villa 51%, draw 27%, Nottingham Forest 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aston Villa), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.