Atletico Madrid II 1-1 Tarazona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 3 Jan 2026

📅03/01/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
15%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.51
Over 2.5
44%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.53
No
58%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.15
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
5.35
6+ Goals
9%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
60%
+1.7pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.0pp
15%
Away Win
14%
+0.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
36%
+7.0pp
58%
BTTS No
64%
-7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Madrid II EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Tarazona EU Bookmakers 17%
+1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -8%
1.95/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.26
+17% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +21%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
286 · 90% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 167 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 11.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Madrid II
1-1
AWAY Tarazona
66% Ball Possession 34%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Atletico Madrid II vs Tarazona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Madrid II and Tarazona couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Atletico Madrid II at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Atletico Madrid II had 66% of the ball to Tarazona's 34%, shots finished 8-8.

What was the final score of Atletico Madrid II vs Tarazona?

Atletico Madrid II 1-1 Tarazona in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 03/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Madrid II vs Tarazona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Madrid II win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Atletico Madrid II 61%, draw 24%, Tarazona 15%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Atletico Madrid II), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Madrid II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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