Pontevedra 2-1 Racing Ferrol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 3 Jan 2026

Pontevedra
2-1 HT 1-0
Racing Ferrol
📅03/01/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division B – 2025/2026

Pontevedra vs Racing Ferrol Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
36%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.48
Over 2.5
45%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.09
No
50%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.14
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
5.37
6+ Goals
8%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
39%
-1.7pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.8pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+5.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
64%
-8.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
36%
+8.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.5pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Pontevedra v Racing Ferrol — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pontevedra EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Ferrol EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / -1%
1.68/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/0.89
+32% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +32%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
381 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.2

Pontevedra vs Racing Ferrol Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pontevedra
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Racing Ferrol
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.02.2023 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 2-0 HT 0-0 Pontevedra Pontevedra İS3
04.12.2022 Pontevedra Pontevedra 0-2 HT 0-2 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS3
17.01.2021 Pontevedra Pontevedra 0-1 HT 0-1 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS3
19.01.2020 Pontevedra Pontevedra 0-0 HT 0-0 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS3
31.08.2019 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 4-1 HT 4-0 Pontevedra Pontevedra İS3
24.07.2019 Pontevedra Pontevedra 1-0 HT 1-0 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol HAZ

Pontevedra 2-1 Racing Ferrol — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pontevedra
2-1
AWAY Racing Ferrol
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pontevedra vs Racing Ferrol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pontevedra nicked a narrow win over Racing Ferrol 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; Pontevedra found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pontevedra had 38% of the ball to Racing Ferrol's 62%, shots finished 10-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Racing Ferrol led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Pontevedra and 1.50 for Racing Ferrol.

What was the final score of Pontevedra vs Racing Ferrol?

Pontevedra 2-1 Racing Ferrol in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 03/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pontevedra vs Racing Ferrol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pontevedra win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Pontevedra 37%, draw 27%, Racing Ferrol 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pontevedra) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pontevedra) ✗ Under 2.5
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