Genoa 1-1 Pisa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 3 Jan 2026

Genoa
1-1 HT 1-1
Pisa
📅03/01/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2025/2026

Genoa vs Pisa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.89
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
31%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
1.54
Over Pick
51%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.12
No
49%
1.64
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2.34
2-3
39%
1.77
4-5 ✗
21%
4.96
6+
10%
29.5
Value flag · 4-5 at 4.96 — our 21% vs market 14.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.61
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
5%
14.3
X/1
12%
4.33
X/2
10%
8.64
X/X
17%
3.83
2/1 ✗
9%
31.0
2/2
14%
7.56
2/X
8%
15.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 31.0 — our 9% vs market 1.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Genoa v Pisa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Genoa The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Pisa The Market 25%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
1.26 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.47
1.07 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.58
Weak Attackvs comparable teams Great
Strong Defensevs comparable teams Weak
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
337 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 74%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
18.5 Crosses 13.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.3

Genoa vs Pisa Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Genoa
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Pisa
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.24 xG 0.37
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
354 Passes 264
73% Pass Accuracy 70%
20 Box Touches 12
24 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.01.2023 Genoa Genoa 0-0 HT 0-0 Pisa Pisa İTB
28.08.2022 Pisa Pisa 0-1 HT 0-1 Genoa Genoa İTB

Genoa 1-1 Pisa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Genoa
1-1
AWAY Pisa
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 7
356 Passes 177
81% Pass Accuracy 68%
REVIEW Genoa vs Pisa
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Genoa and Pisa traded blows to a 1-1 standstill.

The preview numbers (40% / 29% / 31%) promised nothing between these sides, and the point apiece bears that out.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 51% for over 2.5, 51% on both teams scoring. The market went further still — the under-2.5 price closed at 1.54, about 65%.

The match data tells the story: Genoa had 62% of the ball to Pisa's 38%, shots finished 12-10.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Genoa had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Genoa and 0.00 for Pisa.

Genoa vs Pisa Result & Final Score

Genoa 1-1 Pisa in the Italy - Serie A on 03/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Genoa vs Pisa Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Genoa win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Genoa 40%, draw 29%, Pisa 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Genoa), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Genoa) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTA More Italy - Serie A
3 Jan 2026
14:30 Como vs Udinese Analysis →
17:00 Sassuolo vs Parma Analysis →
20:00 Juventus vs Lecce Analysis →
22:45 Atalanta vs Roma Analysis →