Atalanta vs Roma Prediction — Model Probabilities
Atalanta v Roma — Team-Based Signals
Atalanta vs Roma Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Atalanta 1-0 Roma — Actual Match Statistics
Atalanta squeezed past Roma 1-0.
From a near-even 40% / 29% / 31% read, it was Atalanta who turned the coin-flip their way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
The match data tells the story: Atalanta had 45% of the ball to Roma's 55%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.88 to 0.78.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atalanta had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Atalanta and 0.67 for Roma.
Atalanta vs Roma Result & Final Score
Atalanta 1-0 Roma in the Italy - Serie A on 03/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Atalanta vs Roma Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Atalanta win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Atalanta 40%, draw 29%, Roma 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atalanta), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.