Como 1-0 Udinese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 3 Jan 2026

Como
1-0 HT 1-0
Udinese
📅03/01/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
57%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
20%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
1.71
Over
55%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.97
No
45%
1.74
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2.76
2-3
39%
1.76
4-5
25%
4.09
6+
12%
19.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
2.33
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
7%
14.9
X/1
12%
4.17
X/2
7%
9.29
X/X
9%
4.55
2/1
14%
26.5
2/2
7%
7.93
2/X
7%
16.6
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Como The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Udinese The Market 23%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Weak
1.63 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.12
1.27 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.66
Average Attackvs comparable teams Average
Great Defensevs comparable teams Weak
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
397 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 77%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
16.7 Crosses 15.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Como
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Udinese
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
1.56 xG 0.78
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
376 Passes 322
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
26 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 3
20.01.2025 Como Como 4-1 HT 2-0 Udinese Udinese İTA
01.09.2024 Udinese Udinese 1-0 HT 1-0 Como Como İTA
19.04.2003 Udinese Udinese 3-2 HT 1-0 Como Como İTA
18.12.2002 Como Como 0-2 HT 0-1 Udinese Udinese İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Como
1-0
AWAY Udinese
2.24 xG 0.59
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 2
474 Passes 263
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
39 Box Touches 9
15 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Como vs Udinese
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Como came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Udinese 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Como as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) never looked like landing.

By the numbers, Como had 62% of the ball to Udinese's 38%, shots finished 15-3, expected goals 2.24 to 0.59 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Como's control.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Udinese led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Como and 1.75 for Udinese.

Como vs Udinese Result & Final Score

Como 1-0 Udinese in the Italy - Serie A on 03/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Como vs Udinese Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Como win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Como 57%, draw 23%, Udinese 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Como) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Como) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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