Madura United vs Persebaya Surabaya Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Madura United v Persebaya Surabaya — Team-Based Signals
Madura United vs Persebaya Surabaya Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-0
Persebaya Surabaya
ENDL1
2-2
HT 1-1
Madura United
ENDL1
1-2
HT 1-1
Persebaya Surabaya
ENDL1
Madura United 0-1 Persebaya Surabaya — Actual Match Statistics
Persebaya Surabaya squeezed past Madura United 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 38%) promised a tight game; Persebaya Surabaya found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Madura United had 40% of the ball to Persebaya Surabaya's 60%, shots finished 10-16.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Persebaya Surabaya led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Madura United and 1.50 for Persebaya Surabaya.
What was the final score of Madura United vs Persebaya Surabaya?
Madura United 0-1 Persebaya Surabaya in the Indonesia League 1 on 03/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Madura United vs Persebaya Surabaya?
Before kick-off our model rated an Persebaya Surabaya win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Madura United 35%, draw 27%, Persebaya Surabaya 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Persebaya Surabaya), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.