Monaco 1-3 Lyon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 3 Jan 2026

Monaco
1 - 3 HT 1 - 1
Lyon
📅03/01/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2025/2026

Monaco vs Lyon Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
2.15
Over
57%
1.69
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
60%
1.54
No
40%
2.31
Total Goals
0-1
21%
4.1
2-3
45%
1.86
4-5
26%
2.98
6+
8%
9.16
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.81
1/2
3%
31.0
1/X
5%
12.7
X/1
15%
5.09
X/2
10%
7.35
X/X
15%
5.36
2/1
3%
22.7
2/2
16%
4.96
2/X
5%
13.35
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Monaco v Lyon — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Monaco The Market 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Lyon The Market 32%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.63 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.49
1.23 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.77
Average Attack Strength Strong
Average Defense Strength Weak
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
339 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 410 · 83%
27 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2

Monaco vs Lyon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monaco
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Lyon
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.64 xG 1.04
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
368 Passes 370
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
29 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.05.2025 Monaco Monaco 2-0 HT 0-0 Lyon Lyon FR1
24.08.2024 Lyon Lyon 0-2 HT 0-0 Monaco Monaco FR1
28.04.2024 Lyon Lyon 3-2 HT 2-1 Monaco Monaco FR1
15.12.2023 Monaco Monaco 0-1 HT 0-0 Lyon Lyon FR1
19.05.2023 Lyon Lyon 3-1 HT 1-1 Monaco Monaco FR1
11.09.2022 Monaco Monaco 2-1 HT 0-0 Lyon Lyon FR1

Monaco 1-3 Lyon — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monaco
1 - 3
AWAY Lyon
0.47 xG 1.40
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 9
7 Corners 2
303 Passes 407
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
13 Box Touches 26
23 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Monaco vs Lyon
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Lyon put daylight between themselves and Monaco 3-1 on the road. Level at 1-1 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

A gentle 47% lean on Monaco didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

By the numbers, Lyon saw more of the ball, 55% to 45%, shots finished 6-13, expected goals 0.47 to 1.40.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Monaco against 1.33 for Lyon.

Monaco vs Lyon Result & Final Score

Monaco 1 - 3 Lyon in the France - Ligue 1 on 03/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Monaco vs Lyon Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Monaco win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Monaco 47%, draw 25%, Lyon 28%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Monaco) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Monaco) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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