Al Fateh 2-0 Al Shabab Riyadh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 3 Jan 2026

📅03/01/2026 · 🕒16:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
39%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.61
No
41%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.63
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.11
6+ Goals
12%
10.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
38%
-3.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.0pp
39%
Away Win
36%
+3.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.3pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+1.3pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Fateh EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Shabab Riyadh EU Bookmakers 39%
-3% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -20%
1.53/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.16
+33% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -11%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
317 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 82%
26.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.8
20.7 Crosses 21.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Fateh
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Al Shabab Riyadh
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.18 xG 2.04
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 8
320 Passes 433
83% Pass Accuracy 86%
18 Box Touches 36
16 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.05.2025 Al Fateh Al Fateh 3-1 HT 3-1 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SUUD
05.12.2024 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 2-2 HT 0-0 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
27.05.2024 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 3-2 HT 1-0 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
15.12.2023 Al Fateh Al Fateh 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SUUD
31.10.2023 Al Fateh Al Fateh 1-2 HT 1-0 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SAKK
03.05.2023 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Fateh
2-0
AWAY Al Shabab Riyadh
2.88 xG 0.52
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 9
256 Passes 177
73% Pass Accuracy 68%
23 Box Touches 19
13 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Fateh vs Al Shabab Riyadh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Fateh got the better of Al Shabab Riyadh 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 26% / 39% — and on the day Al Fateh made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Fateh had 58% of the ball to Al Shabab Riyadh's 42%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 2.88 to 0.52.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Shabab Riyadh led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Fateh and 1.67 for Al Shabab Riyadh.

What was the final score of Al Fateh vs Al Shabab Riyadh?

Al Fateh 2-0 Al Shabab Riyadh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 03/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Fateh vs Al Shabab Riyadh?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Shabab Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Al Fateh 35%, draw 26%, Al Shabab Riyadh 39%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Shabab Riyadh) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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