Curzon Ashton 0-3 Buxton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
36%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.75
Over 2.5
53%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.81
No
56%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.95
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
3.9
6+ Goals
11%
17.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.6pp
23%
Draw
28%
-4.1pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+5.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
53%
-6.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
47%
+6.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.0pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Curzon Ashton EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Buxton EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +7%
1.50/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.16
+4% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +22%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
343 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Curzon Ashton
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Buxton
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
19.08.2023 Buxton Buxton 1-1 HT 1-0 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
07.01.2023 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 2-1 HT 0-1 Buxton Buxton İCON
13.08.2022 Buxton Buxton 1-0 HT 0-0 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Curzon Ashton
0-3
AWAY Buxton
55% Ball Possession 45%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Curzon Ashton vs Buxton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Buxton swept aside Curzon Ashton 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (41% / 23% / 36%) promised a tight game; Buxton found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Curzon Ashton had 55% of the ball to Buxton's 45%, shots finished 6-12.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Curzon Ashton and 1.00 for Buxton.

What was the final score of Curzon Ashton vs Buxton?

Curzon Ashton 0-3 Buxton in the England - Conference on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Curzon Ashton vs Buxton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Curzon Ashton win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Curzon Ashton 41%, draw 23%, Buxton 36%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Curzon Ashton) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Curzon Ashton) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İCON More England - Conference
3 Feb 2024
18:00 Welling United vs Taunton Town Analysis →
18:00 Scunthorpe United vs Rushall Olympic Analysis →
18:00 Tonbridge Angels vs Chippenham Town Analysis →
18:00 Bath City vs Eastbourne Borough Analysis →
18:00 Brackley Town vs Darlington 1883 Analysis →
18:00 Boston United vs Southport Analysis →