Farsley AFC 3-1 Bishops Stortford — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
24%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.11
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
3.73
6+ Goals
10%
15.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.11 — our 30% vs market 26.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
20%
X/2
4%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-7.0pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.7pp
24%
Away Win
22%
+2.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.9pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Farsley AFC EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Bishops Stortford EU Bookmakers 25%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.83/0.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.79
+0% / +133% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
344 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Farsley AFC
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Bishops Stortford
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 3
19.08.2023 Bishops Stortford Bishops Stortford 0-1 HT 0-1 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Farsley AFC
3-1
AWAY Bishops Stortford
46% Ball Possession 54%
18 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Farsley AFC vs Bishops Stortford
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Farsley AFC saw off Bishops Stortford 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Farsley AFC as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Farsley AFC had 46% of the ball to Bishops Stortford's 54%, shots finished 18-5.

What was the final score of Farsley AFC vs Bishops Stortford?

Farsley AFC 3-1 Bishops Stortford in the England - Conference on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Farsley AFC vs Bishops Stortford?

Before kick-off our model rated a Farsley AFC win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Farsley AFC 46%, draw 30%, Bishops Stortford 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Farsley AFC), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Farsley AFC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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