Hampton & Richmond 2-1 Truro City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
38%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.73
No
58%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.16
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
3.67
6+ Goals
9%
15.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 32% vs market 25.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.5pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.6pp
38%
Away Win
30%
+8.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
54%
-12.1pp
58%
BTTS No
46%
+12.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hampton & Richmond EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Truro City EU Bookmakers 34%
+3% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.25/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.51
-13% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
275 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hampton & Richmond
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Truro City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 3
19.08.2023 Truro City Truro City 1-2 HT 1-1 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond İCON
14.10.2017 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond 0-2 HT 0-0 Truro City Truro City FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hampton & Richmond
2-1
AWAY Truro City
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hampton & Richmond vs Truro City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hampton & Richmond squeezed past Truro City 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 24% / 38%) promised a tight game; Hampton & Richmond found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hampton & Richmond had 55% of the ball to Truro City's 45%, shots finished 8-6.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hampton & Richmond and 1.50 for Truro City.

What was the final score of Hampton & Richmond vs Truro City?

Hampton & Richmond 2-1 Truro City in the England - Conference on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hampton & Richmond vs Truro City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Truro City win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Hampton & Richmond 37%, draw 24%, Truro City 38%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Truro City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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