Havant & Waterlooville 2-1 Chelmsford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.99
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
36%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.03
Over 2.5
56%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.81
2-3 Goals
35%
1.82
4-5 Goals
27%
3.18
6+ Goals
13%
10.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
30%
+6.7pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.5pp
36%
Away Win
45%
-9.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
45%
-0.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
55%
+0.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.0pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Havant & Waterlooville EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Chelmsford City EU Bookmakers 49%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -9%
1.10/1.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.21
-16% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +4%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
359 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Havant & Waterlooville
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Chelmsford City
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
19.08.2023 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 1-1 HT 0-1 Havant & Waterlooville Havant & Waterlooville İCON
11.02.2023 Havant & Waterlooville Havant & Waterlooville 3-0 HT 0-0 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
03.09.2022 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 3-4 HT 2-2 Havant & Waterlooville Havant & Waterlooville İCON
05.03.2022 Havant & Waterlooville Havant & Waterlooville 2-1 HT 0-0 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
30.10.2021 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 2-3 HT 1-0 Havant & Waterlooville Havant & Waterlooville İCON
05.12.2020 Havant & Waterlooville Havant & Waterlooville 3-1 HT 1-0 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
POST-MATCH Havant & Waterlooville vs Chelmsford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Havant & Waterlooville nicked a narrow win over Chelmsford City 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; Havant & Waterlooville found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Havant & Waterlooville had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Havant & Waterlooville and 1.33 for Chelmsford City.

What was the final score of Havant & Waterlooville vs Chelmsford City?

Havant & Waterlooville 2-1 Chelmsford City in the England - Conference on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Havant & Waterlooville vs Chelmsford City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Havant & Waterlooville win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Havant & Waterlooville 37%, draw 27%, Chelmsford City 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Havant & Waterlooville), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Havant & Waterlooville) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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