Torquay United 0-4 St. Albans City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
2.18
Over
47%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.55
No
49%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1
29%
4.32
2-3
38%
1.87
4-5
23%
2.94
6+
10%
8.82
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.32 — our 29% vs market 18.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
37%
Home Win
46%
-8.5pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.7pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
42%
+11.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
58%
-11.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.7pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torquay United The Market 50%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Albans City The Market 33%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +14%
1.38/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.30
-12% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
322 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torquay United
1W-0D-0L
AWAY St. Albans City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
33% Ball Possession 67%
8 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 1
19.08.2023 St. Albans City St. Albans City 0-1 HT 0-1 Torquay United Torquay United İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torquay United
0-4
AWAY St. Albans City
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Torquay United vs St. Albans City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Albans City ran out comfortable winners over Torquay United 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 34% — and on the day St. Albans City made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Torquay United had 50% of the ball to St. Albans City's 50%, shots finished 8-13.

What was the final score of Torquay United vs St. Albans City?

Torquay United 0-4 St. Albans City in the England - Conference on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torquay United vs St. Albans City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Torquay United win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Torquay United 37%, draw 29%, St. Albans City 34%. The final score 0-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Torquay United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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