Brighton & Hove Albion 4-1 Crystal Palace — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 3 Feb 2024

Brighton & Hove Albion
4-1 HT 3-0
Crystal Palace
📅03/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
England - Premier League – 2023/2024

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.72
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.04
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
24%
3.79
6+ Goals
11%
16.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.23
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
5%
15.05
X/1
24%
3.85
X/2
9%
9.29
X/X
11%
4.75
2/1
7%
24.7
2/2
10%
7.55
2/X
7%
15.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
54%
-1.3pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.9pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+3.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.4pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Brighton & Hove Albion v Crystal Palace — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Crystal Palace EU Bookmakers 23%
-13% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -3%
2.02/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.49
-13% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +24%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
425 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 78%
35.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
22.5 Crosses 16.2
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.2

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Crystal Palace
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.59 xG 0.91
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
563 Passes 274
86% Pass Accuracy 75%
31 Box Touches 15
23 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.12.2023 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 1-1 HT 1-0 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
15.03.2023 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 1-0 HT 1-0 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
11.02.2023 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 1-1 HT 0-0 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
14.01.2022 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 1-1 HT 0-0 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
27.09.2021 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 1-1 HT 1-0 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
22.02.2021 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 1-2 HT 0-1 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP

Brighton & Hove Albion 4-1 Crystal Palace — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion
4-1
AWAY Crystal Palace
1.43 xG 0.30
69% Ball Possession 31%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 2
817 Passes 330
94% Pass Accuracy 85%
17 Box Touches 6
10 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brighton & Hove Albion swept aside Crystal Palace 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Brighton & Hove Albion as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Brighton & Hove Albion had 69% of the ball to Crystal Palace's 31%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 1.43 to 0.30.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Brighton & Hove Albion and 1.00 for Crystal Palace.

What was the final score of Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace?

Brighton & Hove Albion 4-1 Crystal Palace in the England - Premier League on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brighton & Hove Albion win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Brighton & Hove Albion 53%, draw 23%, Crystal Palace 24%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brighton & Hove Albion), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Brighton & Hove Albion) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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