Alajuelense 1-0 CS Cartagines — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 3 Feb 2025

📅03/02/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.45
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
20%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
1.95
Over 2.5
61%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.99
No
44%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
65%
-9.1pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.8pp
20%
Away Win
14%
+5.3pp
39%
Under 2.5
48%
-8.8pp
61%
Over 2.5
52%
+8.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
46%
+9.5pp
44%
BTTS No
54%
-9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alajuelense EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY CS Cartagines EU Bookmakers 17%
+0% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +1%
2.06/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.75
+4% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +4%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
361 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alajuelense
3W-2D-1L
AWAY CS Cartagines
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.62 xG 0.64
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
397 Passes 381
85% Pass Accuracy 85%
32 Box Touches 17
8 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
23.09.2024 Alajuelense Alajuelense 2-1 HT 0-1 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines KOSTA
04.08.2024 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines 0-1 HT 0-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
07.04.2024 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines 0-0 HT 0-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
29.01.2024 Alajuelense Alajuelense 0-1 HT 0-1 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines KOSTA
12.11.2023 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines 1-1 HT 0-1 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
06.10.2023 Alajuelense Alajuelense 3-0 HT 2-0 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines CONOAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alajuelense
1-0
AWAY CS Cartagines
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Alajuelense vs CS Cartagines
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alajuelense edged past CS Cartagines 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Alajuelense as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Alajuelense had 56% of the ball to CS Cartagines's 44%, shots finished 10-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alajuelense had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Alajuelense and 0.50 for CS Cartagines.

What was the final score of Alajuelense vs CS Cartagines?

Alajuelense 1-0 CS Cartagines in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 03/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alajuelense vs CS Cartagines?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alajuelense win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Alajuelense 55%, draw 25%, CS Cartagines 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alajuelense) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alajuelense) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KOSTA More Costa Rica - Premier League
3 Feb 2025
00:00 Puntarenas FC vs Perez Zeledon Analysis →
00:00 CS Herediano vs Sporting San Jose Analysis →