Alajuelense 2-1 CS Cartagines — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 23 Sep 2024

📅23/09/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.45
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
21%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
65%
-10.8pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.1pp
21%
Away Win
14%
+6.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.0pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alajuelense EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY CS Cartagines EU Bookmakers 17%
+1% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -2%
1.94/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.86
-4% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -2%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
381 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alajuelense
3W-2D-1L
AWAY CS Cartagines
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.73 xG 1.11
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
392 Passes 346
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
28 Box Touches 20
10 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.08.2024 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines 0-1 HT 0-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
07.04.2024 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines 0-0 HT 0-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
29.01.2024 Alajuelense Alajuelense 0-1 HT 0-1 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines KOSTA
12.11.2023 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines 1-1 HT 0-1 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
06.10.2023 Alajuelense Alajuelense 3-0 HT 2-0 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines CONOAK
29.09.2023 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines 1-3 HT 0-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense CONOAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alajuelense
2-1
AWAY CS Cartagines
69% Ball Possession 31%
24 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Alajuelense vs CS Cartagines
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alajuelense edged past CS Cartagines 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Alajuelense as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Alajuelense had 69% of the ball to CS Cartagines's 31%, shots finished 24-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alajuelense had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Alajuelense and 0.50 for CS Cartagines.

What was the final score of Alajuelense vs CS Cartagines?

Alajuelense 2-1 CS Cartagines in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 23/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alajuelense vs CS Cartagines?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alajuelense win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Alajuelense 54%, draw 25%, CS Cartagines 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alajuelense), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Alajuelense) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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