Guanacasteca 2-1 Sporting San Jose — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 23 Sep 2024

📅23/09/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
39%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
11%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
39%
-5.8pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
39%
Away Win
34%
+4.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.4pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guanacasteca EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting San Jose EU Bookmakers 38%
+5% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +6%
1.52/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.22
+10% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -2%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
346 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guanacasteca
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Sporting San Jose
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.08.2024 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose 2-2 HT 1-0 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
01.04.2024 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose 3-2 HT 2-0 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
25.01.2024 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 4-2 HT 2-2 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose KOSTA
22.10.2023 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose 1-1 HT 0-1 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
21.08.2023 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 3-1 HT 2-1 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose KOSTA
09.04.2023 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose 2-0 HT 2-0 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guanacasteca
2-1
AWAY Sporting San Jose
59% Ball Possession 41%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Guanacasteca vs Sporting San Jose
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guanacasteca squeezed past Sporting San Jose 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 39%) promised a tight game; Guanacasteca found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Guanacasteca had 59% of the ball to Sporting San Jose's 41%, shots finished 7-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Guanacasteca and 1.83 for Sporting San Jose.

What was the final score of Guanacasteca vs Sporting San Jose?

Guanacasteca 2-1 Sporting San Jose in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 23/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guanacasteca vs Sporting San Jose?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting San Jose win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Guanacasteca 33%, draw 28%, Sporting San Jose 39%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sporting San Jose) ✗ Under 2.5
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