Atletico San Luis 2-3 Pumas UNAM — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 3 Feb 2025

📅03/02/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.8
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
38%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.64
Over 2.5
42%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.53
2-3 Goals
43%
1.71
4-5 Goals
18%
4.15
6+ Goals
9%
21.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+2.3pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.2pp
38%
Away Win
38%
-0.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
57%
+0.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
43%
-0.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.0pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico San Luis EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Pumas UNAM EU Bookmakers 42%
+4% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -21%
1.16/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.14
+6% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -6%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
277 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 78%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.7
15.8 Crosses 21.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico San Luis
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Pumas UNAM
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.38 xG 1.94
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
321 Passes 328
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 3
20.10.2024 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM 3-0 HT 1-0 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
20.01.2024 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 3-1 HT 1-0 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM MEK
17.09.2023 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM 3-2 HT 0-1 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
09.04.2023 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM 3-1 HT 2-1 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
19.08.2022 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 3-2 HT 1-2 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM MEK
21.04.2022 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 2-0 HT 1-0 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico San Luis
2-3
AWAY Pumas UNAM
0.99 xG 2.07
62% Ball Possession 38%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 1
422 Passes 233
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
17 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Atletico San Luis vs Pumas UNAM
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pumas UNAM nicked a narrow win over Atletico San Luis 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 38% — and on the day Pumas UNAM made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atletico San Luis had 62% of the ball to Pumas UNAM's 38%, shots finished 8-14, expected goals 0.99 to 2.07.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Atletico San Luis and 2.00 for Pumas UNAM.

What was the final score of Atletico San Luis vs Pumas UNAM?

Atletico San Luis 2-3 Pumas UNAM in the Mexico - Primera on 03/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico San Luis vs Pumas UNAM?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pumas UNAM win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Atletico San Luis 35%, draw 27%, Pumas UNAM 38%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pumas UNAM) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pumas UNAM) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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