Santos Laguna 0-2 Puebla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 3 Feb 2025

📅03/02/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.53
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
34%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.8
Over 2.5
53%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.0
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
26%
3.5
6+ Goals
9%
14.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
36%
+6.4pp
24%
Draw
28%
-4.2pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-2.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.9pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santos Laguna EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Puebla EU Bookmakers 39%
+7% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -1%
1.20/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.42
+12% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -9%
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
280 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
19.3 Crosses 20.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santos Laguna
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Puebla
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.97 xG 1.55
44% Ball Possession 56%
15 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
284 Passes 352
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 25
13 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.07.2024 Puebla Puebla 1-0 HT 0-0 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
31.01.2024 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 3-0 HT 0-0 Puebla Puebla MEK
08.07.2023 Puebla Puebla 2-3 HT 2-2 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
27.02.2023 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 3-2 HT 2-0 Puebla Puebla MEK
09.07.2022 Puebla Puebla 1-0 HT 1-0 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
19.03.2022 Puebla Puebla 2-2 HT 0-0 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santos Laguna
0-2
AWAY Puebla
1.59 xG 1.31
65% Ball Possession 35%
19 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 4
370 Passes 177
82% Pass Accuracy 69%
27 Box Touches 24
28 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Santos Laguna vs Puebla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Puebla beat Santos Laguna 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Santos Laguna at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Santos Laguna had 65% of the ball to Puebla's 35%, shots finished 19-18, expected goals 1.59 to 1.31.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santos Laguna had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Santos Laguna and 1.33 for Puebla.

What was the final score of Santos Laguna vs Puebla?

Santos Laguna 0-2 Puebla in the Mexico - Primera on 03/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santos Laguna vs Puebla?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santos Laguna win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Santos Laguna 42%, draw 24%, Puebla 34%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Santos Laguna) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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