Puebla 1-0 Santos Laguna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 6 Jul 2024

📅06/07/2024 · 🕒01:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.0
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.1
6+ Goals
9%
10.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-2.8pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.5pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.8pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Puebla EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Santos Laguna EU Bookmakers 29%
+2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -17%
1.19/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.72
-1% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -19%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
336 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 78%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
19.7 Crosses 15.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Puebla
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Santos Laguna
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.43 xG 2.10
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
334 Passes 254
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
23 Box Touches 22
24 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 2
31.01.2024 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 3-0 HT 0-0 Puebla Puebla MEK
08.07.2023 Puebla Puebla 2-3 HT 2-2 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
27.02.2023 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 3-2 HT 2-0 Puebla Puebla MEK
09.07.2022 Puebla Puebla 1-0 HT 1-0 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
19.03.2022 Puebla Puebla 2-2 HT 0-0 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
20.09.2021 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 1-1 HT 0-0 Puebla Puebla MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Puebla
1-0
AWAY Santos Laguna
1.51 xG 0.46
40% Ball Possession 60%
16 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 1
280 Passes 489
81% Pass Accuracy 89%
26 Box Touches 7
32 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Puebla vs Santos Laguna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Puebla squeezed past Santos Laguna 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Puebla as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Puebla had 40% of the ball to Santos Laguna's 60%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 1.51 to 0.46.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santos Laguna led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Puebla and 2.00 for Santos Laguna.

What was the final score of Puebla vs Santos Laguna?

Puebla 1-0 Santos Laguna in the Mexico - Primera on 06/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Puebla vs Santos Laguna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Puebla win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Puebla 46%, draw 25%, Santos Laguna 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Puebla) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Puebla) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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