Queretaro 1-2 Tijuana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 6 Jul 2024

📅06/07/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.53
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
33%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.68
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.36
6+ Goals
9%
22.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
36%
+2.0pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.3pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-2.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.1pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Queretaro EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Tijuana EU Bookmakers 39%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.42/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.18
-3% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / +12%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
275 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 79%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
19.8 Crosses 14.5
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Queretaro
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Tijuana
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.12 xG 1.32
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
225 Passes 343
69% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 26
15 Crosses 31
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.02.2024 Tijuana Tijuana 1-1 HT 1-1 Queretaro Queretaro MEK
22.10.2023 Queretaro Queretaro 1-0 HT 0-0 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
31.07.2023 Tijuana Tijuana 0-1 HT 0-1 Queretaro Queretaro CONLK
08.04.2023 Tijuana Tijuana 1-2 HT 0-1 Queretaro Queretaro MEK
21.08.2022 Queretaro Queretaro 2-0 HT 1-0 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
25.04.2022 Tijuana Tijuana 2-2 HT 2-0 Queretaro Queretaro MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Queretaro
1-2
AWAY Tijuana
0.82 xG 2.13
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
166 Passes 386
64% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 41
13 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Queretaro vs Tijuana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tijuana edged past Queretaro 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 33% — and on the day Tijuana made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Queretaro had 37% of the ball to Tijuana's 63%, shots finished 9-18, expected goals 0.82 to 2.13 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Tijuana's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Queretaro had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Queretaro and 0.67 for Tijuana.

What was the final score of Queretaro vs Tijuana?

Queretaro 1-2 Tijuana in the Mexico - Primera on 06/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Queretaro vs Tijuana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Queretaro win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Queretaro 38%, draw 29%, Tijuana 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Queretaro) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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