FC Juarez 2-2 Atlas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 6 Jul 2024

📅06/07/2024 · 🕒06:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.86
Over 2.5
55%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
44%
+1.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
29%
Away Win
29%
-0.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
50%
-4.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
50%
+4.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+1.0pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Juarez EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Atlas EU Bookmakers 33%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -14%
1.28/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.33
+5% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
295 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 76%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
22.7 Crosses 17.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Juarez
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Atlas
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.94 xG 0.99
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
292 Passes 345
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
29.01.2024 Atlas Atlas 2-1 HT 2-0 FC Juarez FC Juarez MEK
23.09.2023 FC Juarez FC Juarez 1-2 HT 0-1 Atlas Atlas MEK
10.04.2023 FC Juarez FC Juarez 1-1 HT 1-1 Atlas Atlas MEK
17.08.2022 Atlas Atlas 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Juarez FC Juarez MEK
12.03.2022 FC Juarez FC Juarez 1-2 HT 0-1 Atlas Atlas MEK
01.08.2021 Atlas Atlas 2-0 HT 0-0 FC Juarez FC Juarez MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Juarez
2-2
AWAY Atlas
1.17 xG 1.01
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
290 Passes 175
79% Pass Accuracy 67%
18 Box Touches 20
11 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Juarez vs Atlas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Juarez and Atlas couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was FC Juarez at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, FC Juarez had 58% of the ball to Atlas's 42%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 1.17 to 1.01.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atlas led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for FC Juarez and 1.50 for Atlas.

What was the final score of FC Juarez vs Atlas?

FC Juarez 2-2 Atlas in the Mexico - Primera on 06/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Juarez vs Atlas?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Juarez win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split FC Juarez 46%, draw 25%, Atlas 29%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Juarez) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Juarez) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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