Zamora 2-1 Estudiantes De Merida — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 3 Feb 2025

📅03/02/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.25
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-3.2pp
32%
Draw
28%
+4.2pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-1.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.9pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zamora EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Estudiantes De Merida EU Bookmakers 36%
-2% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -14%
0.99/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.25
-5% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -27%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
273 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 78%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
18.9 Crosses 23.4
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zamora
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Estudiantes De Merida
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.59 xG 1.67
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
243 Passes 319
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 28
17 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.10.2024 Zamora Zamora 1-0 HT 1-0 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
06.04.2024 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 3-1 HT 3-1 Zamora Zamora VEN
23.09.2023 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 2-2 HT 1-1 Zamora Zamora VEN
20.02.2023 Zamora Zamora 1-5 HT 1-4 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
15.09.2022 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 1-2 HT 0-0 Zamora Zamora VEN
05.03.2022 Zamora Zamora 2-0 HT 1-0 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zamora
2-1
AWAY Estudiantes De Merida
0.76 xG 0.67
33% Ball Possession 67%
12 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 8
169 Passes 412
68% Pass Accuracy 84%
11 Box Touches 28
9 Crosses 17
6 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Zamora vs Estudiantes De Merida
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zamora squeezed past Estudiantes De Merida 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 32% / 31% — and on the day Zamora made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Zamora had 33% of the ball to Estudiantes De Merida's 67%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 0.76 to 0.67.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zamora had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Zamora and 1.83 for Estudiantes De Merida.

What was the final score of Zamora vs Estudiantes De Merida?

Zamora 2-1 Estudiantes De Merida in the Venezuela - Premier League on 03/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zamora vs Estudiantes De Merida?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zamora win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Zamora 37%, draw 32%, Estudiantes De Merida 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zamora) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zamora) ✗ Under 2.5
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