Deportivo La Guaira 2-2 UCV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 3 Feb 2025

📅03/02/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.25
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.51
Over 2.5
40%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
41%
-3.4pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.0pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+5.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.6pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo La Guaira EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY UCV EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +3%
1.26/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.19
-5% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
262 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 70%
16.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
18.4 Crosses 17.7
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo La Guaira
2W-3D-1L
AWAY UCV
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.88 xG 0.71
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
308 Passes 258
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
13 Box Touches 15
12 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.09.2024 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 2-0 HT 1-0 UCV UCV VEN
12.07.2024 UCV UCV 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VENK
26.05.2024 UCV UCV 0-2 HT 0-1 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
27.04.2024 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 0-2 HT 0-1 UCV UCV VEN
16.03.2024 UCV UCV 1-1 HT 1-1 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
30.09.2023 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 0-0 HT 0-0 UCV UCV VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo La Guaira
2-2
AWAY UCV
0.81 xG 1.52
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
333 Passes 285
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Deportivo La Guaira vs UCV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo La Guaira and UCV shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportivo La Guaira had 52% of the ball to UCV's 48%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 0.81 to 1.52.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo La Guaira had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Deportivo La Guaira and 0.50 for UCV.

What was the final score of Deportivo La Guaira vs UCV?

Deportivo La Guaira 2-2 UCV in the Venezuela - Premier League on 03/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo La Guaira vs UCV?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo La Guaira win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Deportivo La Guaira 37%, draw 28%, UCV 34%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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