Bayer Leverkusen 3-0 St. Pauli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - DFB Cup, 3 Feb 2026

Bayer Leverkusen
3 - 0 HT 1 - 0
St. Pauli
📅03/02/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Germany - DFB Cup – 2025/2026

Bayer Leverkusen vs St. Pauli Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
66%
1.45
Draw
18%
4.34
Away
16%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under
38%
2.23
Over
62%
1.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.74
No
46%
1.97
Total Goals
0-1
18%
4.5
2-3
42%
1.9
4-5
29%
2.84
6+
11%
7.92
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1.75
1/2
1%
35.0
1/X
4%
16.7
X/1
19%
4.07
X/2
6%
13.5
X/X
10%
6.84
2/1
4%
20.75
2/2
9%
10.8
2/X
4%
19.0
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome. ★ This match carries Gold/Silver/Bronze value markets — free account to see them.

Bayer Leverkusen v St. Pauli — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Bayer Leverkusen The Market 69%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Pauli The Market 18%
Strong Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
2.20 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.11
0.97 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.22
Great Attack Strength Great
Bad Defense Strength Weak
65% Ball Possession 35%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
504 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 223 · 68%
32 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20
19 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2

Bayer Leverkusen vs St. Pauli Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayer Leverkusen
4W-2D-0L
AWAY St. Pauli
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.84 xG 1.24
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
501 Passes 343
87% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 19
10 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.09.2025 St. Pauli St. Pauli 1-2 HT 1-1 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen AL1
20.04.2025 St. Pauli St. Pauli 1-1 HT 0-1 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen AL1
07.12.2024 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 HT 2-0 St. Pauli St. Pauli AL1
04.09.2014 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 2-2 HT 1-0 St. Pauli St. Pauli HAZ
10.04.2011 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 HT 0-0 St. Pauli St. Pauli AL1
13.11.2010 St. Pauli St. Pauli 0-1 HT 0-0 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen AL1

Bayer Leverkusen 3-0 St. Pauli — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bayer Leverkusen
3 - 0
AWAY St. Pauli
1.28 xG 0.94
61% Ball Possession 39%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 5
724 Passes 414
91% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 28
9 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Bayer Leverkusen vs St. Pauli
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Bayer Leverkusen dismantled St. Pauli 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bayer Leverkusen as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.

By the numbers, possession split 61% to 39% in Bayer Leverkusen's favour, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 1.28 to 0.94.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayer Leverkusen had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.67 a game for Bayer Leverkusen against 1.00 for St. Pauli.

Bayer Leverkusen vs St. Pauli Result & Final Score

Bayer Leverkusen 3 - 0 St. Pauli in the Germany - DFB Cup on 03/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Bayer Leverkusen vs St. Pauli Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayer Leverkusen win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Bayer Leverkusen 66%, draw 18%, St. Pauli 16%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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