Bayer Leverkusen vs St. Pauli Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bayer Leverkusen v St. Pauli — Team-Based Signals
Bayer Leverkusen vs St. Pauli Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-0
St. Pauli
HAZ
2-1
HT 0-0
St. Pauli
AL1
0-1
HT 0-0
Bayer Leverkusen
AL1
1-0
HT 0-0
Bayer Leverkusen
AFK
2-2
HT 1-1
Bayer Leverkusen
AL1
3-1
HT 1-0
St. Pauli
AL1
Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 St. Pauli — Actual Match Statistics
Bayer Leverkusen squeezed past St. Pauli 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bayer Leverkusen as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Bayer Leverkusen had 63% of the ball to St. Pauli's 37%, shots finished 6-12, expected goals 0.88 to 1.82 — the balance of chances actually favoured St. Pauli.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayer Leverkusen had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Bayer Leverkusen and 1.17 for St. Pauli.
What was the final score of Bayer Leverkusen vs St. Pauli?
Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 St. Pauli in the Germany - Bundesliga on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bayer Leverkusen vs St. Pauli?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bayer Leverkusen win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Bayer Leverkusen 56%, draw 24%, St. Pauli 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.