Bochum 0-1 Werder Bremen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.17
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
49%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.53
No
47%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.64
2-3 Goals
39%
1.93
4-5 Goals
27%
2.91
6+ Goals
13%
8.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
5.57
1/2 EV+ ✗
11%
25.0
1/X
9%
14.85
X/1
9%
8.53
X/2
13%
5.34
X/X
7%
6.13
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
25%
2.87
2/X
5%
14.5
Value flag · 1/2 at 25.0 — our 11% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
28%
+2.3pp
21%
Draw
25%
-3.9pp
49%
Away Win
47%
+1.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
61%
-8.4pp
47%
BTTS No
39%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bochum EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Werder Bremen EU Bookmakers 51%
-3% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +12%
1.69/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.23/1.21
-3% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +56% / +28%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
263 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 79%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.3
21.9 Crosses 21.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bochum
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Werder Bremen
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
1.02 xG 1.75
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
270 Passes 299
72% Pass Accuracy 73%
26 Box Touches 26
21 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
18.05.2024 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 4-1 HT 1-0 Bochum Bochum AL1
14.01.2024 Bochum Bochum 1-1 HT 0-0 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen AL1
25.02.2023 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 3-0 HT 2-0 Bochum Bochum AL1
03.09.2022 Bochum Bochum 0-2 HT 0-0 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen AL1
20.03.2010 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 3-2 HT 0-1 Bochum Bochum AL1
25.10.2009 Bochum Bochum 1-4 HT 1-2 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bochum
0-1
AWAY Werder Bremen
1.21 xG 0.82
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 5
347 Passes 338
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 15
42 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bochum vs Werder Bremen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Werder Bremen edged past Bochum 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Werder Bremen as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bochum had 52% of the ball to Werder Bremen's 48%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 1.21 to 0.82.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Werder Bremen led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Bochum and 2.83 for Werder Bremen.

What was the final score of Bochum vs Werder Bremen?

Bochum 0-1 Werder Bremen in the Germany - Bundesliga on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bochum vs Werder Bremen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Werder Bremen win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Bochum 30%, draw 21%, Werder Bremen 49%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Werder Bremen) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Werder Bremen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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