Mönchengladbach 1-1 Borussia Dortmund — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 7 Dec 2024

Mönchengladbach
1-1 HT 0-0
Borussia Dortmund
📅07/12/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2025/2026

Mönchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.99
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
34%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.38
Over 2.5
57%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.49
No
44%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.07
2-3 Goals
38%
1.97
4-5 Goals
26%
2.79
6+ Goals
13%
7.34
Half Time / Full Time
1/1 EV+ ✗
26%
5.19
1/2
6%
24.7
1/X
6%
14.85
X/1
10%
8.24
X/2
10%
5.47
X/X
11%
6.45
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
19%
2.93
2/X
5%
14.55
Value flag · 1/1 at 5.19 — our 26% vs market 16.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
30%
+13.0pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.2pp
35%
Away Win
46%
-11.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
38%
+5.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
62%
-5.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
63%
-7.1pp
44%
BTTS No
37%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mönchengladbach v Borussia Dortmund — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mönchengladbach EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Borussia Dortmund EU Bookmakers 50%
-6% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +0%
1.41/1.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.47
-7% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -8%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
339 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 410 · 82%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.9
15.5 Crosses 14.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3

Mönchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mönchengladbach
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Borussia Dortmund
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
1.45 xG 2.77
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
387 Passes 442
84% Pass Accuracy 86%
24 Box Touches 29
13 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.04.2024 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 1-2 HT 1-2 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund AL1
25.11.2023 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 4-2 HT 3-2 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1
13.05.2023 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 5-2 HT 4-0 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1
11.11.2022 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 4-2 HT 3-2 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund AL1
20.02.2022 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 6-0 HT 2-0 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1
25.09.2021 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 1-0 HT 1-0 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund AL1

Mönchengladbach 1-1 Borussia Dortmund — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mönchengladbach
1-1
AWAY Borussia Dortmund
1.13 xG 1.53
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
272 Passes 462
79% Pass Accuracy 87%
21 Box Touches 35
19 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mönchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mönchengladbach and Borussia Dortmund shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Mönchengladbach at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Mönchengladbach had 40% of the ball to Borussia Dortmund's 60%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 1.13 to 1.53.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Borussia Dortmund led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Mönchengladbach and 3.17 for Borussia Dortmund.

What was the final score of Mönchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund?

Mönchengladbach 1-1 Borussia Dortmund in the Germany - Bundesliga on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mönchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mönchengladbach win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Mönchengladbach 43%, draw 23%, Borussia Dortmund 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mönchengladbach), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mönchengladbach) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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