Eintracht Frankfurt 2-2 Augsburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.53
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
18%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.15
Over 2.5
61%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.21
2-3 Goals
37%
1.88
4-5 Goals
28%
3.07
6+ Goals
15%
9.63
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
2.08
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
18.7
X/1
17%
4.25
X/2
6%
13.2
X/X
11%
6.9
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
24.7
2/2
7%
9.93
2/X
6%
19.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.7 — our 9% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
61%
-1.9pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.8pp
18%
Away Win
18%
+0.1pp
39%
Under 2.5
43%
-3.7pp
61%
Over 2.5
57%
+3.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.4pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eintracht Frankfurt EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Augsburg EU Bookmakers 21%
+6% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -6%
2.08/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.91
+0% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -1%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
396 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 74%
33.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
21.6 Crosses 15.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eintracht Frankfurt
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Augsburg
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.54 xG 0.76
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
420 Passes 244
78% Pass Accuracy 69%
26 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.04.2024 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 3-1 HT 0-1 Augsburg Augsburg AL1
03.12.2023 Augsburg Augsburg 2-1 HT 1-0 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1
29.04.2023 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 1-1 HT 1-0 Augsburg Augsburg AL1
05.11.2022 Augsburg Augsburg 1-2 HT 1-1 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1
16.01.2022 Augsburg Augsburg 1-1 HT 1-1 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1
21.08.2021 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 0-0 HT 0-0 Augsburg Augsburg AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eintracht Frankfurt
2-2
AWAY Augsburg
1.73 xG 0.67
67% Ball Possession 33%
16 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 0
481 Passes 197
84% Pass Accuracy 71%
34 Box Touches 11
26 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Eintracht Frankfurt vs Augsburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eintracht Frankfurt and Augsburg shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Eintracht Frankfurt at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, Eintracht Frankfurt had 67% of the ball to Augsburg's 33%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 1.73 to 0.67.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Eintracht Frankfurt had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Eintracht Frankfurt and 1.00 for Augsburg.

What was the final score of Eintracht Frankfurt vs Augsburg?

Eintracht Frankfurt 2-2 Augsburg in the Germany - Bundesliga on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eintracht Frankfurt vs Augsburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eintracht Frankfurt win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Eintracht Frankfurt 59%, draw 23%, Augsburg 18%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Eintracht Frankfurt) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Eintracht Frankfurt) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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