03/03/2024
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-0
2nd Score
0-0
Albenga vs Ligorna Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
Over
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No Pick
54%
Total Goals
0-1
21%
2-3
44%
4-5
29%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
13%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 54% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH
Home Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
53%
Home Win
81%
27%
Draw
12%
20%
Away Win
7%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Albenga v Ligorna — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Albenga
The Market 85%
Head to Head
AWAY
Ligorna
The Market 9%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+86% /
+86%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-5%
/
–
51%
Ball Possession
49%
13
Total Shots
8
6
Shots on Target
3
4
Corners
3
312 · 75%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
249 · 70%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Albenga vs Ligorna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Albenga swept aside Ligorna 3-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Albenga as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
What was the final score of Albenga vs Ligorna?
Albenga 3-0 Ligorna in the Italy - Serie D on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Albenga vs Ligorna?
Before kick-off our model rated a Albenga win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Albenga 53%, draw 27%, Ligorna 20%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Albenga), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Albenga)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
İTD
More Italy - Serie D
3 Mar 2024