03/03/2024
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
2-1
Club Milano vs Pontisola Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
Over
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
38%
4-5
26%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
12%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 52% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
50%
Home Win
48%
26%
Draw
29%
24%
Away Win
23%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Club Milano v Pontisola — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Club Milano
The Market 52%
Head to Head
AWAY
Pontisola
The Market 26%
+39% /
+39%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+9% /
+9%
2.00/1.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
2.00/2.00
+70%
/
-4%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+91%
/
-43%
52%
Ball Possession
48%
12
Total Shots
11
3
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
4
376 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
325 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Club Milano vs Pontisola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Club Milano cruised past Pontisola 3-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Club Milano as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
What was the final score of Club Milano vs Pontisola?
Club Milano 3-0 Pontisola in the Italy - Serie D on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Club Milano vs Pontisola?
Before kick-off our model rated a Club Milano win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Club Milano 50%, draw 26%, Pontisola 24%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club Milano), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Club Milano)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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İTD
More Italy - Serie D
3 Mar 2024