03/03/2024
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
0-1
Mezzolara vs Sant Angelo Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
Over
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No Pick
55%
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
34%
4-5
22%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
12%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
8%
X/X
18%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 55% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
34%
Home Win
47%
30%
Draw
29%
36%
Away Win
24%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mezzolara v Sant Angelo — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Mezzolara
The Market 51%
Head to Head
AWAY
Sant Angelo
The Market 28%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
47%
Ball Possession
53%
11
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Target
3
4
Corners
5
322 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
306 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Mezzolara vs Sant Angelo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Sant Angelo nicked a narrow win over Mezzolara 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match split (34% / 30% / 36%) promised a tight game; Sant Angelo found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Mezzolara vs Sant Angelo?
Mezzolara 0-1 Sant Angelo in the Italy - Serie D on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mezzolara vs Sant Angelo?
Before kick-off our model rated an Sant Angelo win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Mezzolara 34%, draw 30%, Sant Angelo 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sant Angelo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Sant Angelo)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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İTD
More Italy - Serie D
3 Mar 2024