Calcio Certaldo 0-0 Borgo San Donnino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
3.08
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
35%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
54%
Over
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No Pick
55%
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
40%
4-5
23%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
42%
Home Win
29%
+13.6pp
23%
Draw
28%
-5.2pp
35%
Away Win
43%
-8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Calcio Certaldo The Market 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Borgo San Donnino The Market 48%
-46% / -46% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -56% / -56%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/4.00
-20% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -70%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
308 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Calcio Certaldo vs Borgo San Donnino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Calcio Certaldo and Borgo San Donnino played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Calcio Certaldo at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Calcio Certaldo vs Borgo San Donnino?

Calcio Certaldo 0-0 Borgo San Donnino in the Italy - Serie D on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Calcio Certaldo vs Borgo San Donnino?

Before kick-off our model rated a Calcio Certaldo win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Calcio Certaldo 42%, draw 23%, Borgo San Donnino 35%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Calcio Certaldo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Calcio Certaldo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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